2021 NFL MVP Favorites After Week 16: Rodgers Takes the Lead as the Odds On Favorite
With only two weeks left in the NFL season, the MVP race comes down to the wire as the top talents in the NFL duke it out for the coveted MVP trophy. We saw a lot of things shake up after the slate of Week 16 games, most notably Tom Brady giving up the #1 favorite spot to Aaron Rodgers. While Rodgers currently stands as a heavy favorite, lots of experts think it will be a lot closer than it currently looks–so it’s worth a look if you’re planning on finding some late season betting success.
Here are the current MVP favorites at this point in the NFL Season (as per BetMGM Sportsbook).
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Aaron Rodgers (-190)
After his phenomenal performance in Week 16 against the Browns, Aaron Rodgers separated himself from the rest of the field in terms of MVP favorites. Rodgers has accumulated almost 3700 yards while throwing 33 touchdowns with only 4 interceptions, as he and his Packers are currently the favorites to win the NFC. Rodgers closes out the season with games against the Vikings and the Lions who have two of the worst passing defenses in the NFL–so two more big performances out of Rodgers could cement him his 4th MVP trophy.
Tom Brady (+650)
After a shaky performance against the Panthers and a tablet-breaking performance against the Saints, Tom Brady has fallen drastically in the MVP favorites pecking order. While he still leads the league in both passing yards and passing touchdowns, Brady’s lack of consistency in the last few weeks has left a sour taste in the mouths of the oddsmakers. Tom Brady has a chance to end his season with an exclamation point with games against the Jets and the Panthers, which could help him grab a fourth MVP trophy of his own.
Jonathan Taylor (+650)
The first of second Non-QBs on the list, Jonathan Taylor has been having one of the best running back performances in NFL history. Taylor leads the NFL in rushing yards and has a 500-yard gap between him and second placer, Joe Mixon. Taylor also has a league-best 17 rushing touchdowns, and tacks on two more to his season total thanks to two receiving touchdowns. Taylor would be the first non-QB to win the MVP award since Adrian Peterson in 2012, and would be the fifth running back to do so since 2000.
If you’re taking the MVP award literally and want to award it to the single most valuable player on their respective team, there’s no doubt Taylor is your guy. Taylor accounts for over a third of the Colts total touchdowns, which is an amazing feat coming from the running back position.
Patrick Mahomes (+1200)
The preseason favorite to win the MVP trophy, Mahomes has fallen in the rankings thanks to some early inconsistent play. However, in the final third of the season, Mahomes has been able to turn on the jets and has been making a serious late season push for the MVP trophy. Mahomes has over 4300 passing yards on the year, and has throw for 33 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
Mahomes and the Chiefs have looked absolutely unstoppable recently winning eight games in a row, and if Mahomes can close out the season with two more big wins against the Bengals and the Broncos, he could make a big push for the MVP trophy.
Josh Allen (+1200)
After failing to make the 2022 Pro Bowl roster, Josh Allen immediately shoved it in the faces of the voters by balling out in Week 16’s game in New England. Allen threw for 314 yards and 3 touchdowns en route to the Bills 33-21 victory over the Patriots, which sprung them back into the first place spot in the AFC East.
Allen’s been one of the more consistent players in the NFL this season, averaging a QBR of 96.6 through his 4,000 yard, 34 touchdown campaign. Add on the 619 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs he’s accumulated, and he’s putting together quite the season. Allen will need a lot to happen if he wants to spring ahead in the MVP rankings, but regardless of whether or not he wins the award, he’s undoubtedly putting together an amazing season.
Dak Prescott (+2000)
Dak Prescott is putting together a great rebound season after an injury kept him out of a majority of the 2020 season. Dak’s got almost 4000 yards with 29 touchdowns and has led his Cowboys to an amazing 11-4 season. I really don’t think Dak stands much of a chance in this MVP race, but theirs no doubting the fact that the Cowboys will be a dangerous team to face this offseason.
Cooper Kupp (+2500)
The hands-down best receiver in the NFL this year, Cooper Kupp is on his way to an all-time season in this 2021 campaign. Kupp has a league-leading 1700 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, and has caught over 130 passes on the season. Michael Thomas currently holds the record for the most receptions in an NFL season with 149, so Kupp would need two big games to close out the season to break it–but it’s possible. Cavin Johnson has the most receiving yards in a season with 1,964, so 230 yards between the next two games would make Kupp the all time NFL leader in receiving yards in a season.
If Kupp can break either of these records, he will definitely shoot up in the MVP standings. Is it enough to make him the first Wide Receiver to win the MVP in the history of the NFL? It just may be…
Joe Burrow (+5000)
The last player I’ll profile on this list, Burrow comes in at a +5000 underdog thanks to his Week 16 performance where he threw for over half a thousand yards. His 525 passing yards were the fourth-most in a game in NFL history, and his performance helped the Bengals slide into the first-place spot in the AFC North.
If Burrow can close out the season with another two monster performances, it could be one of the biggest comeback stories in NFL betting history.