2022 NFL Season Win Totals: Best Bets for Over or Under

2022 NFL Season Win Totals: Best Bets for Over or Under
Image © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Ty Bronicel
Ty Bronicel
December 23rd 2022

The 2022 NFL schedule was released Thursday, after which sports fans, pundits, and Vegas bookmakers began speculating on how many wins each team will have by Sunday night, Jan. 8, 2023, when the regular season concludes.

The fine folks at DraftKings, one of our favorite betting sites here at OddsSeeker.com, have the over/under totals up for those who want to get an early jump on future wagering and you can place bets right from your phone with the DK app.

Sure it’s a tad risky to place a future bet in May, when the first game isn’t until Sept. 8, 2022, and there’s potential for injuries, acquisitions and suspensions.

On the other hand, many prognosticators prefer to get in on the action while the gettin’ is good – at least in their eyes, while the O/U number is where they like it and before it changes, possibly in dramatic fashion.

Here are the six teams (three OVER and three UNDER) that you can count on to prove the oddsmakers wrong and show any and all naysayers that you’re a soothsayer.

Chicago Bears (UNDER 6.5 wins)

My good friend is gonna be steamed at me for this call. He’s a good old friend and neighbor and a huge Bears fan but … hate to be the bearer of bad news, brutha, but it’s gonna be Struggle City all year long. Why? Even with one of the easiest (T-24th) schedules for 2022, there’s a huge problem – and it’s significant for a major league team as it turns out. Read: If you can’t outscore your opponent, you’re gonna lose. (Fun side joke about this hot take: I think the real root of crime is criminals). So with Allen Robinson off to L.A. to play for the Rams and more moves likely (Robert Quinn trade), I just don’t see how Justin Fields will thrive with an impotent offense.

Bonus: The over/unders on game totals involving the Bears going under might be early-season gifts.

New Orleans Saints (OVER 8 wins)

Saints QB Jameis Winson looks healthy and happy and New Orleans added deep threat Chris Olave, the rookie receiver from Ohio State who is a solid +1000 to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. It’s a good bet. And, Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara should return to full health in 2022. Plus, the Saints are bound to get out to a fast start since four of their first five games are against teams (Falcons, Panthers, Lions and Seahawks) projected to have six wins or fewer. That’s likely four victories right there. The line is at a straight 8 wins but if that somehow dips to 7.5, absolutely grab the OVER.

Los Angeles Rams (OVER 10.5 wins)

Doubt there is going to be the proverbial Super Bowl hangover, not with this group. Sure, it has the No. 1 toughest slate in the league, which, for the defending champs, kicks off the entire 2022 campaign with a possible Super Bowl 57 (that’s LVII) preview when the Rams host the Bills on the highly-anticipated Thursday night season opener. But here’s the thing: The NFL kings didn’t miss much of a beat despite the defections of three starters: edge-rusher Von Miller, cornerback Darious Williams and guard Austin Corbett – that’s due to the additions of perennial All-Pro linebacker Bobby Wagner and budding star receiver Allen Robinson. Call it 11 or 12 wins for the Rams as they try to become the first defending Super Bowl champs since the 1998-1999 Denver Broncos.

Pittsburgh Steelers (UNDER 7.5 wins)

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin, a future Hall of Famer, has never had a losing record in 15 seasons (an NFL record) at the helm in the Steel City. But with a tough schedule (although the Steelers don’t have to travel far for road games) and a quarterback scenario whereby either rookie first-round pick Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky figures to be the starter, this might be the year where Pittsburgh’s towel-waving faithful must brace for a disappointing, non-winning season in the post-Ben Roethlisberger era. Face the cold facts, fans, at least for this season:

This is a seven-win team.

Kansas City Chiefs (UNDER 10.5 wins)

Here’s a fun stat: Andy Reid has been the coach of the Chiefs for nine seasons and at the end of seven of those, K.C. finished the regular season with at least 11 victories. At the same time, Patrick Mahomes has led to the Chiefs to 12 regular-season wins in each of his four seasons as the starter. That streak comes to an end in 2022. Oh, Kansas City is still good enough to make the playoffs – and they’ll get to 10 wins. However, the stacked and brutal AFC West (take the Raiders OVER 8.5 wins, by the way, as a bonus sixth selection), coupled with the fifth-toughest schedule overall, means 2022 will be a difficult uphill climb – without Tyreek Hill.

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