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2022 NFL Thanksgiving Games: FanDuel Promos and Lines
Much to the chagrin of the Eagles, Seahawks, Falcons, and Cardinals, no birds will be taking center stage on the gridiron during this year’s Turkey Day.
Instead, they’ll be taking center stage on millions of kitchen tables across the country. But full-bellied bettors and football fans alike can look forward to a solid trifecta slate of Thanksgiving games, from the afternoon through the evening.
Over at Detroit’s Ford Field, the Lions will be looking to extend their three-game win streak tomorrow at 12:30, facing off against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills just blew out the Browns 31-23 at that same venue, and they'll be sure to pose a similar challenge for the Lions on their home turf.
Around AT&T Stadium at 4:30, the New York Giants will be kicking off their first Thanksgiving Day matchup against the Dallas Cowboys since 1992! The Dallas Cowboys have beaten New York 5-0 for five consecutive home games, but they’ll be sorely mistaken if they don’t expect Saquon Barkley’s offensive prowess to put up a good fight.
Finally, we’ll have the main event of the night at 8:30, as the New England Patriots face off against the Minnesota Vikings at their U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, for a game that’s projected to be settled at an even more razor-thin spread margin than Dallas and New York’s game.
We have FanDuel Sportsbook’s betting odds for each game, the projected point spreads and over/unders, and some great holiday promos that you’ll wanna gobble down while you can!
NFL Thanksgiving Odds
The favorites of tomorrow’s first two matchups are widely viewed as very heavy moneyline favorites by the books, which translates to little value and lots of chalk. Buffalo currently ranks as -400 moneyline favorites on FanDuel, while the Cowboys rank as -460 favorites.
According to Dimers’ predictive computer algorithm, those odds imply a 77% probability that the Bills will put the Lions’ recent win streak to rest, and an 82% probability that the Dallas Cowboys will keep up their own win streak against New York. That leaves the point spreads as the only two scoring bets with even money -110 odds.
It might seem like a tall order to back Buffalo (currently -9.5) to score by over ten points, but when you consider that Detroit is 3-11 against the spread over Thanksgiving games since 2004, that doesn’t inspire too much confidence. Furthermore, the Lions have been playing a little better lately, but that rebound is coming off a dismal 1-6 season start.
Contrast that with Buffalo’s solid 7-3 performance, tying their 2022 NFL AFC East division standings with the Miami Dolphins, and it’s not hard to see why the Bills are heavy favorites in this spot. The Giants and Cowboys are divided by a similar +10 and -10 point spread margin, but the opposite spread dynamic might be at play here.
Although New York is projected to have a slim shot at winning against Dallas outright, they might have a decent shot at keeping things close. Both the Cowboys and Giants have stayed afloat with a solid 7-3 record this season, and since 2020, New York has maintained a 7-0 ATS streak on short rest games where Daniel Jones was the starting quarterback.
Even if they don’t get the straight-up win, the Giant’s offensive talents might be enough to keep things close, and keep their side of the spread covered. Last but not least, the Vikings and the Pats are squaring off at even tighter moneyline odds, at +116 for New England, and -136 for Minnesota.
The spreads are similarly close too, with the Pats at +2.5, and Minnesota at -2.5. If you’re looking for an opportunity to hedge two teams across two different sportsbooks to guarantee a net profit, no matter the outcome, this could be the game to watch.
NFL Thanksgiving Over/Under
We don’t have a magic crystal ball, but we’re leaning toward tomorrow's games all being lower-scoring affairs. FanDuel’s scoring total for the Bills-Lions game is currently set at a whopping 54.0 points, which seems like a bit of a high total when you consider that:
Lions’ matchups have gone under in 5 out of 10 games this season
Bills’ matchups have gone under in 9 out of 10 games this season
Moving on to New York’s face-off against Dallas, the under has been hitting at a 74% clip for the Giants since 2020, and 6 out of 10 Cowboys games have gone under the total so far this season. Finally, both the Pats and the Vikings will be playing off short rest, a trend that typically favors the under.
Finally finally, whether you’re leaning toward singles or same-game parlays on tomorrow’s betting slate, we want you to:
Remember to wager responsibly
Remember to have a good holiday weekend
Remember these match bonuses to bet safer and smarter!
FanDuel Thanksgiving Promo
Tomorrow, FanDuel is offering new and existing users a Turkey Day SGP match promo, matching your wager with up to $100 in site credit, win or lose. New users can also make use of an even larger site credit promo, which you can learn more about in our full sportsbook review.
Good luck, and have a great long weekend!