College Football Week 11 Winning Predictions

College Football Week 11 Winning Predictions
Image ©SCOTT CLAUSE/USA TODAY Network / USA TODAY NETWORK
Ty Bronicel
Author:
Ty Bronicel
Updated: 
November 9th 2022 - 06:19 PM

After a nice 3-1 Week 9, I stumbled badly last week, reversing it with a lousy 1-3  record.

My way of getting back on track and staying on message and winning you over as betting voters (Wait, the mid-term elections are mostly history except for Herschel? Thank, god.) is: “Focus on Three.”

No more four, just three. Some say pick six, some say be fine with five. But I’m sticking to my guns (NRA-endorsed; wink-wink) and finding the week’s holy trinity of sure-fire winners.

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My picks are in CAPS with plus or minus points.

LSU (-3) at Arkansas

Good luck figuring out this Razorbacks team, especially after a deflating loss to Liberty last Saturday. Meanwhile, this Tigers squad is hitting its stride and finding all the right answers to questions like, How do you beat Alabama?  Answer: A gutsy, dramatic overtime effort.

How will LSU respond after that monumental and emotional victory? Well, I think a college playoff berth is in their sights now and I don’t expect the Tigers to fall flat in Fayetteville.

In fact, I expect LSU QB Jayden Daniels and the Tigers to have a field day and run wild over a weak Razorback rush defense. Maybe Arkansas bounces back but I doubt it. LSU wins by 10 in a high-scoring shootout. My Lock of the Week.

TCU (+7.5) at Texas

I was waiting for this line to move past seven before jumping on the Horned Frogs and you should too.

Texas has lots of advantages in this one, starting with the fact that former TCU head coaching legend Gary Patterson is now a football coaching analyst for the Longhorns. That could be a major advantage. It’s also a home game for Texas and ESPN’s College Gameday will be on campus along with several top-ranked 2023 Longhorn recruits. Steve Sarkisian and all of UT’s crew will be pumped and ready to impress.

However, TCU is unbeaten at 9-0, is 7-1-1 against the spread this season and has simply been more consistent than Texas.

Plus, Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan has been incredible this year (28 touchdown passes to just two interceptions). He’ll be able to pick apart a Texas secondary that has been, to put it charitably, porous.

In the end, TCU either wins – if you’re feeling brave, take the moneyline (+220) for a handsome payout – or the Horned Frogs at least keep it close.

WASHINGTON (+13.5) at Oregon

I realize the Ducks are rolling right now, but that spread seems about three or four points too high.

This Pacific Northwest rivalry hasn’t been much of one: Oregon has won 15 of the last 17 meetings with Washington, which includes three in a row, and eight of the last nine games in Eugene.

But the Huskies’ two losses this season, on the road to Arizona State (45-38) and UCLA (40-32), have been by less than 10 points.

That’s about where this high-scoring game figures to end, with the Ducks and quarterback Bo Nix outlasting the Huskies and their own excellent transfer QB in Michael Penix Jr., who averages 360 yards passing per game and his thrown 23 TDs to only five interceptions.

The difference will be the rowdy Autzen Stadium crowd and Oregon’s realization that if it wins out the rest of the way the high-flying Ducks are landing in the College Football Playoff.

That’s motivation enough for them to take care of their little brother up north, football roles that have flipped over the past two decades. Sorry, Washington fans. You’re still the smaller sibling until you prove otherwise. But keeping this one close will be a good start looking toward next season’s game in Seattle.

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