MLB Win Totals: Full American League 2022 Predictions, MLB Sleepers, and Best Bets
Around a month ago I thought this day would never come–and now that it’s here, I couldn’t be more excited. We are just days away from the 2022 MLB Opening Day, which means we only have a few more days to lock in our MLB regular season win total future bets.
The odds and totals I’ll be using are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, but you could be sure to find similar totals and odds on any other sports betting site. If you are unsure as to which sportsbooks are available in your area, then you can click here to see the best sportsbooks on the market.
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So, let's get down to business and start looking at the American League.
American League East
Toronto Blue Jays (O/U 92.5): OVER
The Blue Jays are actually one of my World Series winner picks, and they should be one of yours too. They have one of the best pitching staffs in the AL, and an incredible infield that could contain three All-Stars in and of itself (Vladdy, Bichette, and Chapman). A full (and healthy) season from George Springer would add a ton to this already stacked lineup, but the offseason addition of Ramiel Tapia improved the Jay’s outfield depth and has them prepared for the worst.
New York Yankees (O/U 91.5): UNDER
I’m a Yankees fan, so this one hurts–but I just had to do it. The Starting 5 for the Yankees in incredibly shallow, especially when you really think about the thin ice Gerrit Cole was skating on at the end of last season. They didn’t do much to improve the lineup of the offseason, and they really just added more low-average high-power hitters–which they already have a ton of. I think this will be an eye-opening season for the Yankees, and possibly one of their first sub-500 seasons in years.
Tampa Bay Rays (O/U 89.5): OVER
The Rays always seem to get things done, and I expect nothing different in 2022. I think Wander Franco and Vidal Brujan will continue to improve, and former rookie of the year Randy Arozarena will have an MVP season. The Rays should give the Jays a run for their money for the AL East crown.
Boston Red Sox (O/U 85.5): OVER
The Red Sox are suffering from the same afflictions that the Yankees are, but I feel like their lineup has a bit more depth to carry the team. Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and JD Martinez continue to be three of the scariest hitters in the league, and will look to propel this Red Sox team over this 85 win number.
Baltimore Orioles (O/U 62.5): UNDER
I wish I could tell the Orioles that this is their year–but unfortunately, I can’t. I will say, they have some very exciting young players in Ryan Mountcastle and Cedric Mullins, but they lack at almost every other position so it doesn’t really matter.
American League Central
Chicago White Sox (O/U 91.5): OVER
I feel like the White Sox could reach this 92 win number through just division games alone. The rest of the central is incredibly weak, so they should have no problem grabbing wins in divisional play. Adding on to that, the Sox have continued to grow a very deep and talented roster. They have power and pop coming from every bat in the lineup, and a pitching staff that can go toe to toe with the best. It’ll be interesting to see how Luis Robert continues to grow, and if Eloy Jimenez can bounce back from his injury last season and return to form.
Minnesota Twins (O/U 81.5): OVER
All of a sudden, the Twins are good. Like, REALLY good. They have one of those lineups that really has no flash (with the exception of Carlos Correa) but there is danger coming from every spot in that lineup. They have 5 hitters who could hit over .275 (Correa, Polanco, Buxton, Arraez, Urshela) and have a very young pitching staff that, if they live up to their potential, could be incredibly dangerous,
Detroit Tigers (O/U 77.5): OVER
The Tigers are another one of my sneaky teams that could make some noise. Now I don’t think they’ll even sniff the playoffs, but they should be able to break 80 wins with no problem. They’ve added an explosive bat (Javier Baez) to their lineup, and have a ton of young prospects looking to prove their worth with impressive play. First Baseman Spencer Torkelson is an early Rookie of the Year candidate and is a top #5 MLB Prospect coming into the season.
Cleveland Guardians (O/U 76.5): UNDER
I have to admit, I’ve grown to love the Guardians logo. Unfortunately, I don’t love their roster. They have some great power in their lineup (Jose Ramirez, Franmil Reyes, Bobby Bradley) but their pitching leaves much to be desired and their infield is laughable. I think it’ll be a tough season for the newly named Guardians.
Kansas City Royals (O/U 74.5): UNDER
The Royals are going to stink this year, plain and simple–but they’re still a team you’re going to want to watch thanks to Bobby Witt Jr. The #2 overall prospect has set the league on fire this spring, and is expected to start the season as the teams starting shortstop, or even third baseman. Keep an eye on Witt, as he’ll likely give Torkelson a run for his money when it comes to the AL Rookie of the Year.
American League West
Houston Astros (O/U 91.5): UNDER
I’ll be honest, I don’t love this Astros team this year. I think Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are both very dangerous hitters, and Jose Altuve is still definitely one of the best middle infielders in the league–but there are a lot of lackluster spots in that lineup that the Astros haven’t seen in the past couple of years. Shortstop Jeremy Pena and Center Fielder Chas McCormick are two names that come to mind, proving that the Astros are still trying to rebuild from their post-cheating scandal offload.
Seattle Mariners (O/U 83.5): UNDER
I think this might be the easiest under for the entire AL. Their lineup isn’t terrible: Kyle Lewis, Mitch Haniger, Jarred Kelenic, Jesse Winker, Adam Frazier, and Ty France are all above average talents at each of their respective positions. However, their pitching leaves MUCH to be desired. The addition of Robbie Ray was great, but the rest of the rotation is a bit jarring:
- Marco Gonzales
- Logan Gilbert
- Chris Flexen
- Justus Sheffield
LA Angels (O/U 83.5): OVER
I think this might be the year we get Mike Trout into the playoffs. And if it’s not? Shame on the Angels. They have the two most talented players in the MLB, and they can’t do anything with them. They’re trying though, made evident by the signing of Noah Syndergaard and Tyler Wade.
Texas Rangers (O/U 74.5): UNDER
The Rangers saw a major revamping of their lineup, thanks to the addition of Marcus Semien and Corey Seager. However, their remaining lineup sports leave more to be desired. Additionally, their pitching staff (headlined by Jon Gray) is sub-par, and will eventually be the Rangers' demise.
Oakland Athletics (O/U 70.5): UNDER
The Athletics didn’t sign a single free agent this offseason and offloaded Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. Sure, they added a shining young prospect to their roster (Cristian Pache) but they didn’t do much to improve on their roster from last year. Actually, they kind of destroyed their roster from last year. They won 86 games last year, and I expect that number to drop by at least 20.