NFL Week 11 Touchdown Predictions

I must break this pattern of going two for three two weeks and then one of three on the third week.

Sigh. But we’re getting there.

Overall, I’m still over .500 for the season but I know I can be more consistent. I definitely will take two out of three every week but let’s shoot for a perfect trifecta, shall we?

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Justin Fields (+100), Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons

I’m honestly baffled by this line.

So you’re telling me it’s better than even money that Fields scores a rushing touchdown, even though he’s had five over his last four games?

He’s really starting to look comfortable as the franchise QB Chicago always hoped for when he was drafted 11th overall out of Ohio State in 2021.

Fields was just named the NFC offensive player of the week after his 178 rushing yards against the Miami Dolphins set the record for the most by a quarterback in a regular-season game in NFL history.

Plus, the Falcons have allowed the fourth-most rushing TDs in the league (13) and the 10th-most yards on the ground.

I’d dare say Fields is good for at least one rushing TD and one passing TD.

Wager accordingly.

Rhamondre Stevenson (+100), New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

Stevenson, a fourth-round pick out of Oklahoma in 2021, is looking like another one of Bill Belichick’s draft-day steals.

He’s getting more touches from the backfield and targets out of the backfield each week.

This should be a low-scoring affair (over/under: 38.5) between division rivals who do not like each other so I do expect a bruising defensive battle.

Still, someone has to score a TD Sunday, right?

And if there is only one score – hey, it’s possible; look for tons of punts and field goals – Stevenson is my guy to get past the goal line.

James Cook (+250), Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns (at Ford Field in Detroit)

This is a bit of a flier but the odds are solid and the Bills and Browns caught a serious break when this game was moved from Buffalo to Detroit with a monster snowstorm about to bear down on Western New York.

Plus, I agree with my colleague Frank Weber, who writes in his NFL Week 11 Fantasy Sleepers post: “Cook is still waiting for his breakout game, but I think I sniffed it out here. Cook is the definite #2 RB in Buffalo and is taking on the sixth-worst rush defense this week (the Browns). All he needs to do is score a touchdown, and that’s incredibly possible considering the Bills may be dealing with some Josh Allen injury problems.”

That sounds probable to me.

I smell what you’ve cooked up, Weber.

Sorry, brother. Couldn’t resist. I’m BBQ-ing on Sunday. We’ll toast our wins then.

Cheers.