NFL Week 4 Best Prop Bets

The NFL season keeps humming along and we’ll be through roughly the quarter mark of the 17-game season following next Monday night’s game between the Rams and the 49ers in San Francisco.

Through three games, we’re starting to get a sense of which teams and players are who we thought they were but there have also been plenty of early surprises (Raiders 0–3, Dolphins 3–0).

Colleague Frank Weber breaks down the best bets for Thursday’s Miami at Cincinnati showdown, and now I’ll look at the most tantalizing options for other games. The odds are courtesy of BetMGM and DraftKings.

Kirk Cousins UNDER 262.5 passing yards (-115 at Bet MGM)

Sure, the Saints are 1–2 but they’re holding quarterbacks to less than 200 yards a game. In the last two weeks, they’ve limited Tom Brady to 190 and Baker Mayfield to 170. Now, the Vikings have many more offensive weapons but the game is in New Orleans and that number just feels about 15–20 yards too high.

Jamaal Williams 2+ rushing TDs AND the Detroit Lions to win (+500 at DraftKings)

Here’s a fun one I really like and you should too. Here’s why: With D’Andre Swift likely to sit out the next two games to heal (ankle and shoulder injuries), the bulk of Detroit’s carries against Seattle will go to Williams, who rushed for 87 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Vikings — including one that resulted in an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty for an overly exuberant celebration. Plus, Seattle has the second-worst rushing defense in the league so expect Williams to have a big game and the Lions to win.

Lamar Jackson to score a rushing touchdown (+140 at DraftKings)

Honestly shocked to see the odds for this are better than even money considering Jackson has rushed for over 100 yards and one touchdown in each of Baltimore’s last two games. Surely, he’s going to find a way to use his arms and legs to score TDs Sunday against the mighty Bills, right? Right.