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NFL Week Five Prop Bets on Two QBs
OK, football fans, mixing it up this week (wow, week five already, if you can believe that). Scary how quickly the days and nights zoom as Halloween and the holidays loom.
Let’s see if I can help you put a little extra money in your pockets as the spending season fast approaches.
This week, we’re going to pick on quarterbacks – or rather, pick against two quarterbacks, whose prop bet odds seem a bit off in two ways for each QB in their respective games.
The following odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. But don’t forget about all the other great gambling options available in your state including BetMGM, FanDuel and more. If you’re looking for a sportsbook promotion, check out the best offer in the USA: DraftKings Bet $5, Win $200.
So let’s take advantage of that by starting with a two-fer on the same QB …
Kenny Pickett UNDER 32.5 Pass Attempts (-110) and OVER 17.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
This is a nightmare scenario for Pickett in his first NFL start: Playing on the road against the Bills who are No. 1 in the league in pass defense and No. 1 in total D.
Pickett threw three interceptions last week against the Jets, so I think it’s free money, a gift, to take the under on 32.5 attempts. No way he’s getting off that many passes because he’ll either be sacked or running for his life. (I can already picture the “South Park”-inspired memes on social media after a particularly brutal tackle on Pickett: “Oh my god, they killed Kenny!”)
Ah but that’s where the second bet on Pickett comes into play. He became the first quarterback in league history to rush for two touchdowns in his first career game, according to the NFL, when he scored twice against the Jets. It would not surprise me if the Steelers don’t score at all (which I thought about but passed on Pickett scoring a rushing TD +600, but feel free). However, Kenny can and will run so bet on him to finish with at least 18 yards on the ground.
Kirk Cousins UNDER 253.5 Passing Yards (-115) and OVER 32.5 Passing Attempts
Cousins has struggled through the first four games (6 TD passes, 4 interceptions, and a 45.4 QBR).
Not great. But the Vikings are 3-1 so that’s sort of been overlooked. Plus, Cousins looks like he’s just gonna keep on chuckin’ it through the air anyway.
He’s averaging 39 pass attempts per game, so that’s six more than the current (as of Friday evening ET) number of 32.5.
Chicago’s defense, led by its stingy secondary, has allowed just 168.5 passing yards per game, so I’m not buying he will get any more than 240 passing yards, tops. But he’ll keep trying for more.