Olivia Rodrigo Driver’s License - The Most Streamed Song Of 2021 & Other Pop Music Predictions

Olivia Rodrigo Driver’s License - The Most Streamed Song Of 2021 & Other Pop Music Predictions
✍️ Written by
Sarah Ryan
🗓 Updated
Sep 22nd 2023

In the 21st Century, it’s easier than ever for talented artists to blow up to ridiculously inordinately astronomically viral proportions, thanks to the internet helping to democratize that process. One artist who’s definitely watched that astronomical blow-up unfold is pop singer/songwriter Olivia Rodrigo.

Rodrigo already had a background in showbiz having spent a few years as an actress in Disney Channel productions, but her music blowup really only happened over the last year, when her debut single “Driver’s License” took off breaking multiple records, including the record for most single song Spotify streams in a week.

Over the course of the last year, that debut single and her debut album “Sour” have both continued to break record after record, with the record highly likely to be an Album Of The Year favorite at the 2022 Grammy Awards. There’s bound to be big buzz around entertainment trends like how far the success of Rodrigo’s album will really go, and with that, big prediction markets to follow suit, like the sort offered by Kalshi.

Kalshi is a new exchange trading platform that allows users to trade on everything, or well, very, very close to everything (which “kalshi” happens to be the Arabic translation of). If you’re curious about what they have to say regarding all things Olivia Rodrigo, or other big, buzzworthy, ongoing entertainment trends, then here’s what you should know.

Olivia Rodrigo Grammy Predictions

On whether or not Olivia Rodrigo’s debut album will be nominated for Album Of The Year at the Grammys, the Kalshi trading consensus is leaning pretty heavily toward a hard “Yes”, with contract shares saying it will happen priced at a pretty decisive 91 cents, whereas the contract shares saying it won’t are priced at a meager 12 cents.

Regarding whether or not “Driver’s License” will end the year as the most-streamed song of 2021, the consensus is actually skewed pretty heavily against Rodrigo, with meager 23 cent contract shares saying it will, and a bunch of whopping 80 cent contract shares confidently affirming that it won’t.

Even though Olivia broke some really impressive, unprecedented records as an artist, she also had to stack up against some really impressive record breakers in their own right. Likely rivals and strong contenders against her most streamed song title odds include:

  • Drake. In the immediate 12 hours following the release of his sixth studio album “Certified Lover Boy”, the record quickly broke Apple Music’s record for being the Some of that publicity undoubtedly came from his ongoing beef with Kanye, which, as outlets like GQ have reported, was only resolved a few days ago. 
  • Tyler, The Creator & Doja Cat. The former marked the 2nd #1 Billboard 200 ranking of his career with his 2021 record “Call Me If You Get Lost”, whereas Doja simultaneously hit her own streaming best with the release of her third studio album “Planet Her”.
  • Lil Nas X. Both him & Rodrigo are examples of how quickly virality can catch on, and both artists took home three MTV VMA Awards this year.

Olivia’s got a lot of potential rivals on the song streaming front, but how likely is it that her debut album “Sour” will end the year as the world’s most consumed album? Unfortunately, not very likely in the eyes of Kalshi users; right now, the contract share prices on that prediction are skewing 3/4ths (or 75 cents) in the direction of it not coming to fruition.

So sorry to disappoint any Livies who may be reading OddsSeeker, but the odds aren’t looking so good on Olivia Rodrigo breaking certain streaming award records. A Grammy nomination though? That one might be in the bag.

If you’re ready to trade on her streaming outcomes, baseball outcomes, or other entertainment outcome futures (maybe some will open up on one of the aforementioned artists above), then you can click here to get to trading Kalshi markets today. Not only that, but you can also click here to sign up for our mailing list to get sent more great prediction market updates like this! What’s not to love?

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