The Best NFL Teams Against The Spread So Far This Season
In Football, it’s all about winning. It doesn’t matter how you get there, but as long as it ends with a tally in the win column nobody will ask any questions. In sports betting, that is not always the case. When betting the spread, it’s not always about winning–it’s more so about winning with style. That’s why when you’re going to bet on a game, it’s almost as important to look at a team’s record against the spread than it is to look at their regular-season record. Some of the best teams in the league may be the worst to bet on, while some of the worst teams in the league may actually be more profitable.
Here are the best NFL teams against the spread so far this season.
1. Green Bay Packers (11-2 ATS, 10-3 Overall)
Behind the play of QB Aaron Rodgers the Packers have been a sports bettor’s best friend, covering the spread in all but two of their games so far this season. The two times they failed to cover the spread were in Week One against the Saints and Week 11 against the Vikings. While only covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points, the Packers have found a way to make sports bettors happy this year and cover 85% of their games. They finish up their season with some tough games against the Ravens, Browns, and Vikings, so it’ll be interesting to see if they can keep this trend going by the end of the season.
2. Dallas Cowboys (10-3 ATS, 9-4 Overall)
The Dallas Cowboys come in as our second-best team ATS, after only failing to cover the points three times in Weeks 9, 11, and 12. Even though they haven’t gotten the season they would’ve liked out of RB Ezekiel Elliot, the Cowboys have been able to remain a consistent offense behind the play of Dak Prescott. Their biggest snafu seems to be being a touchdown or more favorite, seeing as they are 2-2 in games where they are favored by 7 or more points. They’ve even been able to cover the spread as an underdog this season, covering in Weeks 1 and 2 against the Buccaneers and the Chargers. The Cowboys have some tough divisional matchups and a game against the Cardinals to close out the season, so keep that in mind before taking the Cowboy’s ATS as an automatic.
3. Arizona Cardinals (9-4 ATS, 10-3 Overall)
Despite having the best record in the NFL for the vast majority of the season, the Cardinals fall to third on this list after failing to cover for the third time in the last six weeks. Are the wheels starting to come off the wagon? Or did their level of competition just step up a notch in the second half of the season? Who knows, but all I DO know is that as long as the Cardinals keep winning, you can feel comfortable taking them ATS. In games where they’ve won outright, the Cardinals are 9-1 ATS thanks to an average margin of victory of over 8 points. So if you’re confident the Cardinals will win, you should feel safe laying the points. But if the game could be close, I’d look elsewhere.
4. New England Patriots (9-4 ATS, 9-4 Overall)
One of the few teams whose actual record matches their record ATS, the Patriots have been this year’s surprise team. Well, you should never be surprised that the Patriots are winning games–but what IS surprising is HOW they’re winning them, especially with a rookie QB running the show. New England covers the spread by a league-leading average of 9.2 points, which means when they win, they win in style. After going 2-4 ATS in the first six weeks of the season, the Patriots are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games, and look to keep that trend going as they close out the season.
5. Detroit Lions (8-5 ATS, 1-11-1 Overall)
The biggest shock on this list, the Detroit Lions are the fifth-best team in the NFL against the spread. Soak it in Lions fans, this is the first rankings list not titled “Worst teams in the NFL” that you’ll find your Lions ranked so highly on. The Lions have yet to be favored to win a game all season, and are given an average of +8.5 points on each point line.
6. Indianapolis Colts (8-5 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
The team that everyone hates to face, the Indianapolis Colts have been one of the grittiest teams all season. Covering the spread by an average of 6 points per game, the Colts have managed to cover 5 times as an underdog and 3 times as a favorite. Strangely enough, four of their five failures to cover the spread came at home, and they hold a record ATS of 5-1 on the road. Seeing as they close out the season with two more road games, they might be worth a look.
7. Tennessee Titans (8-5 ATS, 9-4 Overall)
The Tennesee Titans have been the most profitable moneyline team this year, and are seeing similar success against the spread. After going 2-2 ATS to start off the year, the Titans covered in five straight games–only to skid towards another three-game losing streak. They managed to cover last week’s spread of 8.5 points against the Jaguars, and close out the season against some weak defenses so we could be seeing a lot more of where that came from.
8. Miami Dolphins (7-5-1 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
Another surprise on this list, the Miami Dolphins can thank the five-game winning streak they are currently on for their success ATS. After going 2-5-1 ATS to start off the year, Miami has covered their last five games, which saw them being both favorites and underdogs. They close out their season against the Jets (#32), the Saints (#16), the Titans (#7), and the Patriots (#4).
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6 ATS, 10-3 Overall)
Despite their regular season success, Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have been having a lot of trouble covering the spread that sportsbooks have been giving them. It doesn’t help that they were a favorite in all but one game this season (where they were a pick-em against the Rams) so not only do they have to win their games, but they have to win in style. As the season goes on the Buccs do seem to be finding their form, covering the spread in each of their last four games, so I wouldn’t be too worried betting them as the season comes to an end.
10. Los Angeles Chargers (7-6 ATS, 8-5 Overall)
The Chargers round out our top-ten with a record of 7-6 ATS. They have only gone into a game as an underdog on four occasions, but tend to come out successful in those, covering 3 of the four games. In their last four games of the season they will be playing 3 teams that reside in the bottom half of this list (the Chiefs, the Raiders, and the Giants) so this number can very well improve as the season comes to an end.
Here's how the rest of the league pans out:
11. Seattle Seahawks (7-6 ATS, 5-8 Overall)
12. Denver Broncos (7-6 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
13. Philadelphia Eagles (7-6 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
14. Minnesota Vikings (7-6 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
15. Buffalo Bills (6-6-1 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
16. New Orleans Saints (6-7 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
17. Kansas City Chiefs (6-7 ATS, 9-4 Overall)
18. Los Angeles Rams (6-7 ATS, 9-4 Overall)
19. Atlanta Falcons (6-7 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
20. San Francisco 49ers (6-7 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
21. New York Giants (6-7 ATS, 4-9 Overall)
22. Baltimore Ravens (6-7 ATS, 8-5 Overall)
23. Cincinnati Bengals (6-7 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
24. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-8 ATS, 6-6-1 Overall)
25. Houston Texans (5-8 ATS, 2-11 Overall)
26. Carolina Panthers (5-8 ATS, 5-8 Overall)
27. Las Vegas Raiders (5-8 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
28. Washington Football team (5-8 ATS, 6-7 Overall)
29. Cleveland Browns (5-8 ATS, 7-6 Overall)
30. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9 ATS, 2-11 Overall)
31. Chicago Bears (4-9 ATS, 4-9 Overall)
32. New York Jets (3-10 ATS, 3-10 Overall)