The Four Best Prop Bets Coming Into NFL Wild Card Weekend
Mac Jones UNDER 20 Completions (-130)
On Saturday night, the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots will face off for the third time this season in the first round of the NFL playoffs. They split the first two meetings with one win each, and both teams were able to go into the other’s stadium and win on the road.
Mac Jones didn’t play well in either of those games–sure one took place during a blizzard and he only attempted three passes–but the other was at home, in normal conditions, and he still couldn’t break through the Bills defense. He completed 14 of his 32 attempts with 2 interceptions, amassing a QBR of 41.1 on the game.
The Bills have the single best pass defense in the league and should chew up the inexperienced Jones in his first playoff appearance.
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Zay Jones OVER 41.5 yards receiving (-115)
Derek Carr has found a nice late-season buddy in Zay Jones. Through his first 8 games, Jones caught nine passes for 177 yards. In his 7 games since then, Zay Jones has caught 38 passes for 369 yards, and has quietly become one of Derek Carr’s favorite targets. With a majority of the Bengals secondary focused on Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow, Zay Jones could be slotted to have a big game on Saturday.
Jimmy Garoppolo OVER .5 Interceptions (-135)
The Cowboy’s defense led the NFL this year in interceptions, and Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown four interceptions in his last two games. Now this may seem too easy, but I find it best not to overthink things. The Cowboys came away with an interception in all but two of their regular-season games this year, and I expect that trend to continue this Sunday night.
Pittsburgh Steelers Team Total Touchdowns UNDER 1.5 (+100)
This is probably the biggest stretch of this article so far, but before you toss me to the flames just hear me out. The Chiefs have only allowed two rushing TDs to running backs in the last 13 weeks–so bye-bye Najee Harris. If Big Ben tries to scramble and run one in both of his legs would snap at the knees so there goes that option too–so all we have left is Passing touchdowns and defensive touchdowns. The Chiefs have allowed 1 or fewer passing TDs 10 times in the regular season, and Big Ben has thrown 1 or fewer TDs 11 times in the regular season. The Steeler's defense has not scored a single touchdown all year.
The pieces are coming together…
Listen, we all know it won't take a medium to tell you this game is going to be a blowout. Sportsbooks even have the spread as high as 14.5 in some places! So while it may seem crazy, it’s really not THAT out of this world.