The Four Best Prop Bets Coming Into the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs
Last week I went 2-2, which in my honest opinion is an incredibly respectable record. Also, while I’m tearing my rotator cuff to pat myself on the back, let me add on the fact that I feel like I’m one of the only writers giving out picks on the internet that takes accountability for their bad days.
Like take last week’s games for example: I was awful. Notice how this week I didn’t write something like that? Prop bets are more fun anyway–you don’t have to spill an ounce of care into the outcome of the game, but as long as Joe Mixon gets over 21.5 receiving yards (spoiler alert) everything’s all fine.
So, without further ado, here are my four best prop bets for this weekend’s NFL slate.
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Pick 1: Joe Mixon OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I took this pick (privately) last week and was astounded by how easily it hit. It was halfway through the first drive and Mixon already had half the yards, and the rest was history. The Titans’ pass defense is definitely stronger than the Raiders was last weekend, but my assumption here is that Burrow will be forced to check the ball to his RB’s often due to the Titan’s strong secondary. All it really takes is one big pass and this bet cashes out, so I’m riding with Mixon for my second week in a row.
Pick 2: Josh Allen OVER 335.5 Passing+Rushing Yards (-115)
I’m expecting a massive game out of Allen and the Bills this weekend against the Cheifs. I think it’s finally time for Allen to take that next step into the tier of elite QB’s, and a dominant win over the Chiefs in the playoffs would do just that. Allen has proven his ability to eclipse the 300 yard number passing the ball alone, which would leave 35.5 yards for him to gain on the ground. He’s ran for 50+ yards 8 times on the season, and has thrown for 300 yards in a game 7 times.
Pick 3: Cam Akers Anytime TD Scorer (+130)
I’ll be honest, I had no idea Akers was coming back last week until I saw him suited up and ready to go in the pregame. But once the game started, the Rams made it CLEAR that Akers was healthy and ready to go. Akers was handed the ball 17 times last week and was targeted twice in the passing game, making it clear that he is a key part of this Rams offense.
Pick 4: Allen Lazard Anytime TD Scorer (+230)
Before I get into this, let me make clear one thing:
The Packers are going to demolish the Niners this weekend. Sure, I said the same thing about the Cowboys and the Niners last week, but you have to trust me. I tightened the bolts on my crystal ball and I’m seeing things clearly this time.
No, but for real, I think the Packers are going to remind us just how good this offense of theirs is.
So with that said, any Packers receiver to be an anytime touchdown scorer is a more than decent bet. Why I settled on Lazard though comes through his target-share. In the past six weeks, Lazard has been targeted 5 or more times in five games, making him one of Rodgers’ more reliable target options. Lazard has also caught a touchdown in each of his last three games, making it evident that he is a redzone threat.
