Top Prop Bets for NFL Week 16: Patrick Mahomes, Kyle Pitts, Mac Jones, and More!
Matt Ryan OVER 243.5 Passing Yards (-115)
While Matt Ryan has been showing a bit more of his age than he’d like to have this season, he’s still been able to torch bad defenses throughout the year. Speaking of bad defenses, the Lions have allowed more than 243.5 passing yards in all but five games this season. Ryan should be able to exploit this Lions defense for what it is, and should hit that 243.5 yard mark with ease.
Kyle Pitts OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I hate to dogpile on the Lions, but they just make it so easy. Pitts has been phenomenal recently, recording more than 47.5 receiving yards in five of his last seven games. And the Lions’ defense? Well… what’s the opposite of phenomenal? They’ve allowed over 47.5 yards to tight ends in each of their last five games. With Ryan and Pitts both going off in my book, I’d stay away from any Lions’ bets in general coming into today’s game.
Emmanuel Sanders OVER 3.5 Receptions (-130)
With WR Gabriel Davis out, Josh Allen will be a bit limited with who he can throw the ball to. Of course Stefon Diggs and Dawson Knox are still liable options, but the Patriots defense has an affinity towards locking up opposing WR1 and Tight Ends. This could leave Sanders open for a monster game in Foxborough.
Mac Jones OVER 211.5 Passing Yards (-115)
While only five QBs have been able to record more than 211.5 passing yards against this Bills defense, Mac Jones may be the next to join the list after this Sunday’s game in Foxborough–the key part of that sentence being “in Foxborough.”
Jones has passed for well over 211 yards in five out of his six home games, and he obviously feels like a different quarterback at home than he does on the road. This bet might be a little of a sweat, but stick with it–it should all work out by the end of the game.
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 277.5 Passing Yards (-115)
While Tyreek Hill has been cleared for Sunday afternoon’s game after his stint on the COVID-19 Protocol list, Mahomes will still be without star TE Travis Kelce. Kelce has been one of Mahomes’ favorite targets all week, racking up over 100 yards receiving in four different games. Mahomes will miss Kelce’s presence, and it should reflect in his performance.
Taylor Heinicke OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-190)
As much as I want to say this will be the game that Heinicke puts on his big boy pants and leads the Football Team to a much needed win, I just don’t see it. Dallas comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, and will be playing behind a quarterback who is lifetime undefeated against their opposition. I expect today to be ugly for all aspects of Washington’s game.