UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Walker Odds, Best Bets, and Predictions
Well, another week went by, which only means one thing–more UFC fights! Last week didn’t go according to plan–I went 0-2 and honestly gave out some stinkers. BUT this week (I hope) is different because the card is actually pretty straightforward this week.
The card was supposed to have a bit more of an exciting main event, but when Rafael dos Anjos had to pull out from his fight against Rafael Fiziev, Johnny Walker and Jamahal Hill had to step up. It should be a great main event fight we see from the two light heavyweights, seeing as how they both have unpredictable styles and the ability to end the fight in an instant.
But who will come out on top? THAT is the question–and hopefully, I can answer it for you. If you want to get in on the action this weekend yourself, you can click here to see which sportsbooks are available in your area. BetMGM sportsbook always supplies odds on the fights, and there’s a special bonus they are offering to new users that also read Oddsseeker! If you use the promo code ODDSSEEKER upon registration for BetMGM sportsbook, you can receive up to $1000 in free bets.
Now, let's get down to business. Here are my three best bets for Saturday night’s card!
Joaquin Buckley vs Abdul Razak Alhassan
So if you’re a bettor that bases things off of statistics, you’ll love this pick. Hear me out.
This fight see’s Joaquin Buckley, 2020’s KO of the year recipient, return to the UFC and take on the ever-dangerous Abdul Razak Alhassan, who’s coming off of a first-round TKO over Alessio de Chirico in August 2021. Actually, he seems to be coming off of first-round TKO/KOs pretty often–Alhassan has 5 wins in the UFC, and all of them are via first-round TKO/KO. So this is where my bets come in.
Without even acknowledging Buckley and his skill set, I will be placing a wager on Alhassan to Win via TKO/KO in the First Round (+475). Now it may not be a bad idea to hedge that with a bit of Buckley to Win (-170) seeing as how Buckley is a killer in his own right.
Each of Buckley’s last seven fights (even dating out of the UFC) have ended via TKO/KO, and he is 5-2 in that stretch.
Picks: Alhassan to Win VIA TKO/KO in the First Round (+475), Buckley to Win (-175)
Parker Porter vs Alan Baudot
I’m going to keep taking my analytic approach to these UFC, and keep going by the numbers. There’s trends everywhere you look–all you have to do is look hard enough.
But before we get into the boring stuff, let me rip on Parker Porter for a second. He’s one of my FAVORITE fighters in the UFC, mostly because his name and his physical appearance couldn’t match better. He looks like the fat version of Peter Parker. Just a big, bald dude with body hair galore that, surprisingly, can really scrap.
He’s just 2-1 in the UFC, but has won his last 2 via decision. Porter has been VERY cautious in the UFC, so I’m leaning towards Porter via decision at +215.
Alan Baudot SHOULD be 0-2 in the UFC, but is just 0-1 (1) after his last fight was deemed a no contest, due to his opponent testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs. But if that second fight had stood, Baudot would be 0-2 in the UFC with two knockouts–which isn’t a great start. I really think Parker Porter should have this one pretty easily, but you would have to lay a decent amount of money at -280 to see any profit at his fightline. So that’s why I’ll dabble a bit with the method of victory (or maybe use him fightline in a parlay).
Pick: Parker Porter to Win via Decision (+215)
MAIN EVENT: Johnny Walker vs Jamahal Hill
I’ll be honest, after Johnny Walker’s three INSANE first-round KOs in a row, I had him beating Jon Jones for the Light Heavyweight belt in due time. Since that stretch of fights, he is now unfortunately 1-3 and is possibly fighting for his UFC career against Jamahal Hill. Hill is coming off of a devastating KO victory over Jimmy Crute back in December 2021, so he is rightfully so the outright favorite in this fight (sitting at -240).
While both of these fighters are KO artists, Johnny Walker actually showed some growth in his last fight against Thiago Santos, albeit a loss. Walker lost that fight unanimously, but the scoring only had Santos up one round–which proves that not only can Walker go the distance, but he can remain competitive into the later rounds as well.
Jamahal Hill has never fought a five-round fight in the UFC, and may find himself a bit frustrated with Walker’s style early on.
Pick: Johnny Walker to Win (+195)