UFC Fight Night Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen: Odds, Predictions and Best Bets
My picks last week weren’t the best, but I did hand out a nice underdog pick in Christian Rodriguez, so you all can’t complain too much.
When the betting gods knock you down though, you have to just brush off your shoulders and get back up (responsibly, of course). So, here I am, back with a new batch of best bets for this Saturday Nights UFC card.
Here’s the full card, which starts this Saturday, April 15th, at 5:30 PM EST.
Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen Odds
Preliminary Card
Joselyn Edwards (+115) vs Lucie Pudilova (-135)
Aaron Phillips (+160) vs Gaston Bolanos (-190)
Bruna Brasil (-175) vs Denise Gomes (+150)
Lando Vannata (+100) vs daniel Zellhuber (-120)
Gillian Robertson (-125) vs Piera Rodriguez (+105)
Zak Cummings (-225) vs Ed Herman (+190)
Brandon Royval (+180) vs Matheus Nicolau (-210)
Bill Algeo (-210) vs TJ Brown (+180)
Main Card
Clay Guida (+210) vs Rafa Garcia (-250)
Pedro Munhoz (+185) vs Chris Gutierrez (-215)
Tanner Boser (+105) vs Ion Cutelaba (-125)
Dustin Jacoby (-165) vs Azamat Murzakanov (+140)
Edson Barboza (+150) vs Billy Quarantillo (-175)
Max Holloway (-180) vs Arnold Allen (+155)
Just typing that all out made me realize how STACKED this card his. Stacked not necessarily in terms of talent (although it’s certainly not lacking) but stacked in terms of just how many fights there are on it.
FOURTEEN total fights on this weekend's card, and here I come with only three best bets… despicable.
I’m no punk, though, so I’m going to give out the best bets for FIVE of the fourteen fights taking place on Saturday night.
The odds I’m using are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. If DraftKings isn’t available in your area, be sure to check out these other Online Casinos.
Edwards vs Pudilova: Pudilova ML (-135)
Starting off chalk, classic Frank. Realistically though, I think this line is way too close. Sure, Edwards has a HEAVY advantage in UFC experience, as this will be her sixth fight in the organization. However, she just nudged out a win in her last bout, and is only 3-2 in the UFC.
Pudilova, on the other hand, made her UFC debut in August and burst out onto the scene with a TKO finish in her first bout. I expect Pudilova to keep the good times rolling on Saturday by grabbing another win.
Phillips vs Bolanos: Under 2.5 (-140)
To be honest, I really think this fight will go Bolanos’ way. Phillips hasn’t fought since 2020, and while Bolanos has definitely seen some loses recently, he’s at least been active. Bolanos is also incredibly heavy-handed, so the under in this one is just SCREAMING to me. Also, all six of Bolanos’ wins have come via TKO/KO–so look out for a slugfest in this one.
Murzakanov vs Jacoby: Murzakanov ML (+140)
Jacoby is a pretty heavy favorite coming into this one, and I honestly don’t understand why. Sure, before his split decision loss to Khalil Rountree at Fight Night 213 he was on a four-fight winning streak–but Murzakanov has proven to be a KILLER.
He’s 12-0 and has finished each of his UFC fights via KO/TKO. His most recent win over Devin Clark came in August, and before that, he defeated Tafon Nchukwi via a flying knee.
I think Murzakanov will continue his unbeaten streak and shock the MMA world a bit.
Quarantillo vs Barboza: Quarantillo via KO/TKO (+225)
Billy Quarantillo is one of my favorite fighters on the roster, and I think he’s going to prove why this weekend. He’s an absolute BRAWLER, and I think he’s going to be a lot for an aging Barboza to handle.
Although Quarantillo is only 3-2 in his last five, all three of those wins have come via KO/TKO, and one of those losses came in an absolute battle against Shane Burgos.
Barboza is currently on a two-fight skid of his own, and I think this could be the beginning of the end for the UFC legend.
Holloway vs Allen: Allen to win via KO/TKO (+600)
Okay, this one is definitely…a bit out there–but hear me out. Arnold Allen has been on the prospect radar for what feels like DECADES, and he’s finally getting a chance to earn his shot at a title–and I don’t think he’ll let this one slip through his fingers.
Holloway has looked incredible in every fight excluding the ones against Volkanovski, but that trend HAS to end at some point, right? Also, Holloway’s most recent loss to Volkanovski in July was definitely the worst, and the first where Holloway looked almost vulnerable.
I’m confident that Allen’s striking is better than Volkanovski’s, and I’m afraid that Holloway is losing a bit of his edge. I think Allen comes out fast and hard, and gets the win via KO/TKO.
