UFC Fight Night Rozenstruik vs Almeida Best Bets, Odds, and Predictions
After going 3-0 the week before, I only went a measly 1-3 last week…if sports betting was easy, it would be called rocket science.
The best thing about sports betting, though, is that you have a million chances to redeem yourself–and I’m cashing in one of those chances here with my best UFC Fight Night bets.
Tomorrow’s card, which has a preliminary card start time of 12:00 PM EST, is headlined by heavyweights Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida. Both are coming off of big knockout wins, and both will be catapulted right into the championship fight picture with an impressive win on Saturday.
However, just like it is with almost every UFC event, there are far more noteworthy fights on Saturday’s card than just the main event.
UFC Rozenstruik vs Almeida Odds (Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Preliminary Card
Jessica Rose Clark (+100) vs Tainara Lisboa (-120)
Bryan Battle (+115) vs Gabriel Green (-135)
Ji Yeon Kim (-230) vs Mandy Bohm (+195(
Cody Stamann (-150) vs Douglas Silva de Andrade (+130)
Karl Williams (-410) vs Chase Sherman (+330)
Matt Brown (+190) vs Court McGee (-225)
Main Card
Tim Means (+185) vs Alex Morono (-215)
Carlos Ulberg (-425) vs Ihor Potieria (+340)
Daniel Rodriguez (+250) vs Ian Garry (-300)
Anthony Smith (-110) vs Johnny Walker (-110)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (+390) vs Jailton Almeida (-490)
Best Bets
Ihor Potieria to win via submission (+1200)
If this one hits, then you can never complain about any of my picks ever again. Potieria is a massive underdog to begin with, but I’m crediting that mostly to the hype surrounding Carlos Ulberg. Is Ulberg a talented striker? Yes. But has he also shown himself susceptible to gassing out early and leaving himself open to harm? Also yes.
If Potieria can gas out Ulberg and get this fight to the ground, which I think is his best chance of winning, then this bet may easily cash. Six of Potieria’s 19 MMA wins have come via submission, so it’s definitely not unheard of.
Ian Garry to Win via Decision (+120)
This is undoubtedly Ian Garry’s toughest test to date, as Daniel Rodriguez is a talented striker in his own right. That said, I think Garry will come into this fight knowing that and will be a bit more cautious that he has been in previous fights.
If we all recall his last fight against Kenan Song at UFC 285, Garry left his chin open for a split second in the first round and ended up on his butt. It didn’t effect him at all though–he came back to win the second round and then knock Song out in the third–but I’m going to assume he learned his lesson and will try and avoid any powerful shots from D-Rod.
If he’s able to do that, I think Garry gets this one done with lots of leg kicks and knee stomps, which he showed lots of in that Song fight too.
Johnny Walker to win via TKO/KO (+140)
Let’s get one thing straight: there’s no other way Johnny Walker wins this fight than by KO. He’s not subbing Smith, and he’s certainly not going the distance.
That said, he has a great chance at putting his lights out, and I think he’ll get it done.
This isn’t the Johnny Walker that was injuring his shoulder while doing the victory worm in the octagon. This is a very different Walker–just watch his last fight against Paul Craig. He was patient, used leg kicks, kept his distance, and didn’t let Craig take him to the ground.
Then, when Craig tried, Johnny unleashed, and that was that. I think Walker will be too much for the aging Smith to handle, and will get it done (maybe even in the first round).
