Week 9 NFL Picks, Predictions, and Bets Bets

Week 9 NFL Picks, Predictions, and Bets Bets
Image © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Kuthula Magubane
Kuthula Magubane
December 23rd 2022

A rematch of Super Bowl I is the spotlight for the Week 9 NFL schedule. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs host Davante Adams and the Packers, with them a 7.5-point NFL odds favorite.

With Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers out with COVID-19, this becomes one of the largest NFL spreads of the week. Will the Packers lead by backup quarterback Jordan Love, pick up an eighth straight victory and continue with their claim as the best team in the league? Or, will the Chiefs see success coming off their Monday night win over the Giants? 

Top Week 9 NFL Predictions

The Saints (-6) covering the spread against the Falcons is one of the model's strongest Week 9 NFL picks with New Orleans winning by 10 points in over 50 percent of simulations. New Orleans continued its dominance in Week 8 over Tampa, forcing three Tom Brady turnovers in a 36-27 victory. The Saints defense is making the biggest impact, known as an offensive juggernaut under Sean Payton. The model projects this trend to continue with New Orleans, with Falcons’ Matt Ryan projected to toss more interceptions than touchdowns and two turnovers.

Pittsburgh managed to win outright, 15-10, after being a five-point underdog last week from its bye at Cleveland. The Steelers (-6.5), then, should cover against the Bears at home. Chicago lost to San Francisco, 33-22, after a gutty effort from its rookie quarterback, Justin Fields, the week prior. Pittsburgh has only allowed 77 total yards and one score for the entire year of opposing quarterbacks. Fields topped 200 yards in passing only one game this season, with the Steelers' holding quarterbacks to lowered yard totals even with the defense at only two interceptions in 2021.

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh running back, is one of the League's most productive rookies. Chicago, on the other hand, has yielded at least 145 yards rushing in its last three games. SportsLine's model predicts Harris to finish with another 75 yards and a score, while Fields finishes with under 175 yards passing and just 36 yards on the ground. That's all the difference Pittsburgh needs to cover the 6.5-point spread in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

For Tennessee at Los Angeles Rams, Derrick Henry’s foot surgery is devastating for the Titans (6-2), expected to keep him out at least six weeks, after a league-high 237 touches for the running back. His replacement, veteran Adrian Peterson will likely not find success, given the Rams (7-1) just added Von Miller to their existing defensive front. Tennessee can still be a playoff team given receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones are healthy, but this game will not help the Titans’ case with Rams picked to win (-7.5).

This week is an essential must-win for the Browns (4-4) who are in last place in the A.F.C. North and face a grave standings battle if they lose again to divisional opponent, Cincinnati, and after reporting Friday that Odell Beckham Jr. would no longer play for the team. The Bengals (5-3) will be eager to show that their upset loss and low rushing of 41 yards last week to the Jets was a fluke. They will find the Browns’ pass rusher and sack leader, Myles Garrett, and sixth-ranked rushing defense a challenge in particular. Cincinnati will be motivated to add Joe Burrow to his quarterback graveyard, with the Browns picked at +3.

In a surprising turn, the Cardinals (7-1) who were undefeated in seven games lost to the Packers last week with injuries, which forced oddsmakers to downgrade Arizona to an underdog in this week’s 49ers match-up. While quarterback Kyler Murray (ankle) and center Rodney Hudson (rib) are questionable, defensive end J.J. Watt (shoulder) is done for the year. Even if Colt McCoy steps in for Murray, the Cardinals have enough offensive firepower to handle the 49ers (3-4), and are the pick (+1), especially given Arizona’s defense makes quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo struggle.

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