Week Four Thursday Night Football Best Bets: Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals
So last Thursday’s Browns vs Steelers game wasn’t as bad as we all anticipated, but it still left much to be desired. Luckily, we have a great game set up for this Thursday, as the undefeated Miami Dolphins are traveling to Cincinnati to take on the reigning AFC Champion Bengals.
Last week, my picks weren’t the best–I went 1-2. However, that brings my season total to 3-4, so I’m at least not totally stinking it up. I have four best bets for this Thursday’s game, so hopefully, I can turn things around.
Best Bet #1: Tyler Boyd Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)
Boyd has caught a touchdown pass in two of the Bengals’ three games so far this season, and has outed himself as one of the best slot receivers in the NFL. Boyd is averaging five targets per game, and is coming off of a huge week three game against the Jets, where he went for 105 yards on four receptions and a touchdown. The Dolphins have also been susceptible to the pass so far this season, allowing three touchdowns to Lamar Jackson in week two and two touchdowns to Josh Allen in week three.
Best Bet #2: Evan McPherson OVER 1.5 Field Goals (-120)
This is a real example of an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object. The Dolphins have only allowed two field goals all year (one to the Ravens and one to the Bills) so you may be inclined to take the under here. However, Evan McPherson has already made 7 field goals on the year (two in week one, three in week two, and another two in week three). McPherson is one of the best kickers in the game, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he got a few chances at some three-pointers this Thursday night.
Best Bet #3: Joe Burrow OVER 271.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The Dolphins have only managed to hold opposing quarterbacks to under 271.5 passing yards once so far this season, and that was in week one, where Mac Jones threw for 270 yards. So, he was 1.5 yards away from making this bet almost a lock–but since they held Jones to 270, it makes this bet at least a little interesting. Burrow surpassed the 271.5 yard mark in two of the Bengals’ three games so far this season, but I think they will try to keep the passing game moving as they try to even out their record.
Best Bet #4: Miami Dolphins +4 (-110)
I know, from all these props it seems like I’m really high on the Bengals–but no matter how high I am on the Bengals, I just can’t distrust this Dolphins team just yet. Until they prove to me that they are not to be trusted, I am going to bet with them every week. As a card-carrying member of Tua-non, I’ll be taking the Dolphins and the points this Thursday night.